Population Economics 01:220:477:01
Rutgers University, Professor Ira N. Gang, Email: gang at rutgers.edu Include 477 in the subject line
Updated: 28 August 2021 Noon
Make sure to visit the 6 other webpages comprising the course syllabus: Grading  Exams  NoText  BBB  Catalog_Description Pandemic_Matters
Fall 2021
Mon/Wed/Fall 2021  05:00PM - 06:20PM
Milledoler 100 CAC
Lecture Schedule, Exam Dates, Readings, Problems, There is no warranty on the dates, order or topics. To complete the picture of the class, please read carefull our other syllabus webpages. No text or other purchases are required for this class. Everything is online, on our SAKAI pages.
Prerequisites: Intermediate Microeconomics, Intermediate Macroeconomics, Econometrics
SAKAI The course management software we will be using is SAKAI. Please familiarize yoursef with it. All readings and related materials are under the Resources tab.  Videos are under the Media Gallery tab. Exams will be online, under the Tests & Quizzes tab. Office Hours will be held under the Meetings tab.  Etc. All communications will be to your official Rutgers email. For tech help with  Sakai, please visit https://it.rutgers.edu/help-support.
Lectures Classes this term are in-person in Milledoler 100 CAC. If there are any changes causing us not to be able to meet in-person, we will seemlessly switch to live, synchronous, online classes on SAKAI. The classes will meet at their regularly scheduled time. You will be able to access these live classes through the SAKAI Meetings tab.  Click on the appropriate meeting listed. These classes will not be recorded.  Please enter with your microphones turned off.
Pandemic Matters

I have created a folder in Resources titled 'Pandemic Matters' as a place to deposit emails I receive from the Economics Department and various Rutgers administrators that are
 relevant to how our class runs. These are fluid times with best practices rarely agreed upon and rapidly changing. The nature of an active pandemic requires that we, as a class, be prepared for sudden changes during the term while ensuring academic standards are maintained in a safe environment. Masks must be worn during class meetings. 

Please read this document, which repeats the relevant sections of Announcement 1..

Teaching Assistant
Altug Yildiz, ay319 at economics.rutgers.edu
Office Hours :  Office Hours: OH with our TA, Altug Yildiz <ay319 at economics.rutgers.edu> will be on line from noon to 1:00PM on Wednesdays. If you are not able to make it at this time please email him and arrange a mutually convenient time. You may also email Prof. Gang <gang at rutgers.edu> with questions and to set up online appointments.  Meetings will be in BBB (Big Blue Button, this is the Meetings tab on our Sakai page): Go to Sakai->Meetings->Office Hours to join office hours.
Graded Elements of Course 1. Exercise 03 on population pyramids. Due by 11PM on Sunday, 19 Sept by 11PM.
2. Exam 01 on "Population: an Introdoction to Demography". Monday 04 October on Sakai multiple choice
3. Exam 02. Monday 08 November on Sakai multiple choice
4. Exam 03 (Final Exam), Monday 20 December on Sakai. Up to 60 multiple choice type questions.
Important I post selcted lecture slides (under Reveiw-Key Slides in Sakai -> Resources) prior to the class and suggest you review them prior to the lectures and add to them duirng  the lectures. The posts are designed highlight the main points and will offer a good picture when combined with your class notes.
Exercises, Exam Practice, Handouts, Readings & Related  Located in SAKAI->Resources,. Note: Exercise 03 is the only one of these handed in.  It is due via email on Sunday, 19 September.
Please watch three class lectures and other (short) videos at the appropriate points in material. All are under the Media Gallery tab on the left-hand side of our home Sakai  page. They are listed here under the relevant course topics. THREE CLASS LECTURES ONLINE - I will be unable to be present for classes on Sept 08, 22 & 29 (classes #02, #06 & #08, respectively). These are early in the semester. For continuity & to help establish a strong foundation on the course material, I am recording and posting the appropriate lecture for each of these days. These  three videos "count" as if I delivered them in-class in-person..
Class 02: will be posted at appropriate time
Class 06: 
will be posted at appropriate time
Class 08: 
will be posted at appropriate time

PART ONE: POPULATION ECONOMICS OVERVIEW
-The videos in Part One, Part Two and Extra Topics are not required. They are for your use and I think they will be helpful in developing and expanding your understanding of population economics.
Introduction:

Hans Rosling on global population growth (10 Minutes)

Hans Rosling's 200 Countries, 200 Years, 4 Minutes  (5 Minutes)
Very recently I came across a series of 5 short (total time ~2 hours) lectures on demographic measurement that I found to be quite good. The web page describing them and further materials is POPGROUP
 The five videao are in Media Gallery 1.1-1.5 Demographic Concepts (Introduction, Fertility, Mortality, Migration, Population Projections).
Mortality:

Economics of Death (12 Minutes)
HansRosling_2009_480 HIV (11 Minutes)

Fertility:
HansRosling_2007_4Best Stats you've Ever Seen (21 Minutes)

Migration:
Economics of Immigration, Crash Course (12 Minutes)
Migrant Express (I have combined 7 separate short episodes into one, 44 Minutes)

PART TWO: TOPICS -The videos in Part One, Part Two and Extra Topics are not required. They are for your use and I think they will be helpful in developing and expanding your understanding of population economics.
Data:
India's Census History (14 Minutes)
History of Census Timeline 2011 (mainly British, 7 Minutes)
History of the Census and Census-Taking Around the World by Population Reference Bureau (3 minutes)Female Labor Force Participation
Stefania Albanesi |The Gender Unemployment Gap: Trend and Cycle (49 minutes)
Rohini Pande | Women and Work in India (1 hour 15 minutes)

Missing Women
Siwan Anderson | 2019 Fisher Lecture - Missing Women, (54 minutes)
Kaivan Munshi |
South Asian Studies Annual Indu Bhatt Lecture: Missing Girls (1 hour 35 minutes)
Migration
David Card | Labor Market Impacts of Immigration (1 hour 14 minutes)
Disease, Epidemics and Pandemics
Epidemics in Western History

EXTRA TOPICS
-The videos in Part One, Part Two and Extra Topics are not required. They are for your use and I think they will be helpful in developing and expanding your understanding of population economics.
Abortion and the Economics of Fertility (50 minutes)
Demographic Transition and Development (1 hour 32 minutes)
Food Security in Less Developed Countries (10 minutes)
PART ONE POPULATION ECONOMICS OVERVIEW
Wednesday 01 Sept
Class 1
Objectives:  Introduction. The vocabulary.
Readings:
[01] Mark Mather, Linda A. Jacobsen, and Paola Scommegna, "Population: An Introduction to Demography," Population Bulletin 75, no. 1 (2021). a simple, straightforward introduction to the major concepts & measures used in population studies. You should study this article very carefully -- line by line. Also, see the "vocabulary" guide in Exercise 02.
Exercises: 01, 02, 03
Reference:  Math Review http://www.mathcentre.ac.uk/ 
Monday 06 Sept Labor Day Holiday - No Class
Wednesday 08 Sept
Class 2
No in-person lecture. Watch class 02 lecture in Media Gallery.
Objectives:  Introduction. The vocabulary. Overview of the Overview Part I
Readings:
[02-0] Alene Gelbard, Carl Haub, & Mary M. Kent, “World Population Beyond Six Billion,” Population Bulletin vol. 54, no. 1 (Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau, March 1999). 
Reference: 
[04] PRB's Population Handbook, 6th Edition (Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau, 2011)
Monday 13 Sept
Class 3
Objectives:  Introduction. The vocabulary. Overview of the Overview Part II
Wednesday 15 Sept
Class 4
Objectives:  The Demographic Transition
Readings:
[05-1] Demographic Transition:  An Historical Sociological Perspective [05-2] Timothy W. Guinnane, "The Historical Fertility Transition: A Guide for Economists," Journal of Economic Literature, 2011; [50-3] Bloom; [50-5] Clements; [50-10] Thakoor [50-14] Young Continent
Sunday 19 Sept
Exercise 03 Due 
Exercise 03 on population pyramid is due by 11PM via email attachment to Altug Yildiz, <ay319 at economics.rutgers.edu>. Subject line should say: 477 Ex03 Your Name. See instructions in Sakai->Resources->Exercises->Exercise03
Monday 20 Sept
Class 5
Objectives:  Mortality & Malthus
Readings:
[06] David Cutler, Angus Deaton & Adriana Lleras-Muney. “The Determinants of Mortality.”  The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 20, No. 3 (Summer, 2006), pp. 97-120 [50-9] Looking Up 
Wednesday 22 Sept
Class 6
No in-person lecture. Watch class 06 lecture in Media Gallery.
Monday 27 Sept
Class 7
Objectives:  Fertility
Readings: 
[07] Warren C. Robinson. “The Economic Theory of Fertility Over Three Decades.” Population Studies, Vol. 51, No. 1 (Mar., 1997), pp. 63-74  [08] John Bongaarts. Demographic Consequences of Declining Fertility. Science 16 October 1998: Vol. 282. no. 5388, pp. 419 – 420. [50-12] Strange Case of Missing Baby [50-13] World Has Problem
Wednesday 29 Sept
Class 8
No in-person lecture. Watch class 08 lecture in Media Gallery.
Monday 04 Oct
Class 9 Exam 01
Exam 01 on Exercise 02 and 03. That is, on Population: an Introdoction to DemographyPRB Population Introduction to Demography - -Vocabulary, and the population pyramid exercise. The exam will be on Sakai. You can take the exam any tim on 04 Oct. Once you begin you have 90 minutes to complete it. Please see relevant web page.
Wednesday 06 Oct
Class 10
Objectives:  Migration
Readings:
[10] Some Short Notes on Migration, tutor2u  [11] Does Germany Need More Migration?, HWWI
Exercises: 04
Reference:[12] The Economics of Immigration: Theory & Policy by Örn B. Bodvarsson, Hendrik van den Berg - 2009
Monday 11 Oct
Class 11
Wednesday 13 Oct
Class 12
PART TWO TOPICS
Monday 18 Oct
Class 13
Objectives:  Data in Population Economics
Readings: 
[13} History of US Census. [14] Mark Mather, Kerri L. Rivers, & Linda A. Jacobsen, “The American Community Survey,” Population Bulletin 60, no. 3 (Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau, 2005).  [15] U.S. Census 2010 [50-7] Honey I Lost the Kids   
Wednesday 20 Oct
Class 14
Monday 25 Oct
Class 15
Objectives:  Female Labor  Force Participation, Impact of Women's LFP, Changes in Woman's LFP in India
Readings: 
[17] Saul D. Hoffman. “The changing impact of marriage & children on women’s labor force participation.” Monthly Labor Review.  February 2009, Vol. 132, No. 2   [34] Elizabeth Brainerd, "Uncounted Costs of World War II: The Effect of Changing Sex Ratios on Marriage & Fertility of Russian Women," March 2008 [50-8] Kinoshita 
Wednesday 27 Oct
Class 16
Monday 01 Nov
Class 17
Objectives:  Missing Women, More Missing Women, Missing Girls
Readings: 
[21] Stephen J. Dubner & Steven D. Levitt. “The Search for 100 Million Missing Women: An economics detective story.” Slate. May 24, 2005.  [22-0] Tina Rosenberg. “The Daughter Deficit.” Times Magazine, Published: August 19, 2009 [22-1] Bride trafficking fuelled by India's gender imbalance _ Anu Anand _ Global development _ The Guardian [22-2] child_sex_ratio in India [xxxx] 1.5 Million Missing Black Men  The Methodology: 1.5 Million Missing Black Men
Wednesday 03 Nov
Class 18
Monday 08 Nov
Class 19 Exam 02
Exam 02 will cover the material since the beginning of the term and at least through Migration, though I hope to include Data in Population Economics on this exam.The exam will be on Sakai. You can take the exam any time on 08 Nov. Once you begin you have 90 minutes to complete it. Please see relevant web page.
Wednesday 10 Nov
Class 20
Objectives: Child Labor
Readings:
[30]Examine web page on child labor at International Labor Organization; explore links.
Ob
jectives: Human Trafficking
Resources:
[31-1] N Report on Human Trafficking in India  
Monday 15 Nov
Class 21
Objectives: Distributional Impacts of Immigrants
Readings:
[25] Immigration & the Labor Market: Theory, Evidence, & Policy By Will Somerville & Madeleine Sumption; [50-6 ]Economics Migration Systems
Wednesday 17 Nov
Class 22
Objectives:  Herds and Networks
Readings:
[26] Thomas Bauer, Ira N. Gang & Gil S. Epstein. What are Migration Networks? (revised version published as "Measuring ethnic linkages among migrants" in: International Journal of Manpower, 2009, 30 (1+2), 56-69)
Objectives:  Unauthorized Immigration
Readings:
[23] Jeffrey S. Passel & D’Vera Cohn. Trends in Unauthorized Immigration:Undocumented Inflow Now Trails Legal Inflow. Washington, DC: Pew Hispanic Center, October 2008 
Monday 22 Nov
Class 23
Wednesday 24 Nov
No classes
Thanksgiving Break
Monday 29 Nov
(Wednesday class schedule)
Class 24
Objectives: Immigrants & New Jersey
Readings: 
[24] Ira N. Gang & Anne Morrison Piehl, Destination, New Jersey: How Immigrants Benefit the State Economy, Eagleton Institute, Rutgers University, December 2008
Objectives:   Remittances
Readings:  
[27]Explore Migration Policy Institute webpages on remittances
Wednesday 01 Dec
Class 25
Monday 06 Dec
Class 26
Objectives: Disease, Epidemics and Pandemics
Readings:  [18] Ian R.H. Rockett, “Population & Health: An Introduction to Epidemiology,” 2d ed., Population Bulletin, vol. 54, no. 4 (Washington, DC: Population Reference Bureau, December 1999). [19] "Plague & Economics." Economist. December 23, 1999. [20] Elizabeth Brainerd, “The Economic Effects of the 1918 Influenza Epidemic,” (with Mark Siegler, California State University, Sacramento), CEPR Discussion Paper 3791, November 2003. 
Wednesday 08 Dec
Class 27
Objectives: Disease, Epidemics and Pandemics
Monday 13 Dec
Class 28
Objectives: Disease, Epidemics and Pandemics
Monday 20 Decemder
FINAL EXAM: Comprehensive.  It will cover the entire semester's work,  Once you begin you have 3 hours to complete it. Please see relevant web page.
Additional Material if you are interested International Migration Outlook 2016
Immigrants Not Taking US Jobs
Young Women in Rural India Chase Big-City Jobs
An economist’s view on migration & refugees
Responding to crises: What can we do? What’s next?
Topics if Time Allows Objectives: Caste, Discrimination & Affirmative Action  Readings: [32] Economic & Political Weekly June 17, 2006
Objectives: Refugees Readings: [50-1] When Migrants Spoil the Joke
Objectives: Marriage & Divorce  Readings: [33] Explore data available through US Census links on Marriage & Divorce Statistics
Objectives: 
Empowering Women in Agriculture  Watch: video on Ralitza Dimova's web page http://www.ralitzadimova.net/
Objectives:
Health & Population  Listen to: Real Costs of Gun Violence · Philip J. Cook, Duke University  Readings:[35-0] Angus Deaton Global Patterns of Income & Health  
Objectives:
Disease & Development  Readings: [35-1] [35-2] [35-3]
Objectives: Informal Economy  Readings:  [28] [29]
Objectives: Economics of Abortion  Video: Abortion and the Economics of Fertility  Youtube Link